Earlier this month, defense
secretary Robert M. Gates spent a week in East Asia,
which has emerged as one of the most vibrant centers of economic
growth in the world. Pentagon policymakers tend to use the word "transformation"
too loosely, but the Western Pacific is a place where transformation is a
very real thing. Over the last 50 years, China, Japan and South Korea have all ascended to the
status of world-class economies, and as they did their societies witnessed
profound change. Not surprisingly, U.S.
policymakers are devoting more of their time to developments in East Asia.
One recurrent theme
in the public remarks of Secretary Gates as he traveled around the
region is that local nations, especially Japan, should use their growing wealth
to play a more active role in promoting global security. The biggest
Asian powers all tend to be somewhat insular by comparison with their European
counterparts, even though they are at least as dependent on access to
overseas resources and a smoothly functioning trade system. The U.S.
Air Force and Navy have increased the tempo of cooperative activities with
militaries in the region, but getting local forces to do anything big
outside the region is not easy.
Perhaps that is just as well,
given China's ambivalence
about democracy, South Korea's
need to cope with an aberrant cousin to the north, and domestic resistance in Japan to any
hint of militarism. But there is still a great deal that the countries
can do to foster stability near home, such as restraining North Korea's aggressive
impulses and policing sea lanes. Japan in particular has
motivation and potential to do much more, given its high per-capita
wealth and technological sophistication. Unfortunately, Washington is sending mixed signals to Tokyo about just how much it really wants the
Japanese to do.
A case in point was the recent
debate about whether Japan
should be permitted to buy the F-22 Raptor fighter, following an expression of
interest by a senior Japanese official. The F-22 is the Air Force's new
top-of-the-line fighter, far superior to any other fighter in the world in its
agility, survivability and versatility. It's so capable that
policymakers aren't inclined to export it, even to trusted allies
like Japan.
But does that really make sense if Raptor is the plane best suited to
protecting the Japanese home islands against cruise-missile attack or
preempting a ballistic-missile launch by North Korea? It sounds like Washington is saying it wants Japan
to play a bigger role in regional security, but with inferior weapons -- or
that the Japanese will have to depend forever on America to do the really tough
missions.
Another case in point is the Air
Force's most advanced unmanned reconnaissance aircraft, the Global Hawk.
Like F-22, Global Hawk is the most capable aircraft of its kind in the
world. It can stay aloft for 36 hours with a 3,000-pound payload of
cameras, radars and eavesdropping equipment, far surpassing the persistence of
any manned aircraft or satellite in low-earth orbit. Japan's current
inventory of reconnaissance planes consists mainly of older, less capable
aircraft, and Global Hawk is well matched to the big distances in the Pacific.
Since it's a purely defensive system, why isn't anybody talking about
how Global Hawk might fit into the Japanese toolbox of expanded security
options? Because it's a little too good to share?
In fairness to the Bush Administration,
it has been willing to trust the Japanese with Aegis, the most
sophisticated maritime air-defense system in the world. But if we really
want the Japanese to be partners in regional security, we should be
willing to trust them with other top systems too -- especially since they're
the one ally we have that isn't inclined to export weapons.