The United States currently accounts for nearly
half of all global military expenditures. There is reason to believe that
the armed forces will need to make do with less money in the future. But
the core missions of the military won't go away, so the search is on for more
cost-effective solutions to security challenges. Raytheon has come up
with a low-cost approach to missile defense -- arguably the single most
important mission the military has -- that is so elegant and compelling that it
could serve as a model for other cost-saving breakthroughs.
What the Massachusetts-based company has done is
adapt an air-to-air missile already in widespread use so that it can intercept
ballistic missiles in the most vulnerable phase of their trajectory, before
they have released multiple warheads or countermeasures to assist in
penetrating defenses. That initial phase of a missile's trajectory
is called the boost/ascent phase, because it is the period when rocket motors
are firing or immediately after they shut off, as the payload is rising rapidly
into space.
At that stage in its flight, a ballistic missile
is relatively fragile and easy to spot because of the huge exhaust plume it
generates. Missile defense experts have long known that boost/ascent
was the optimum time to attempt intercept of a hostile missile, since a single
strike can destroy all of its warheads while minimizing the challenge presented
to defenders later in the trajectory. In the later stages, when the
payload is coasting through space or undergoing re-entry, warheads are harder
to sort out from surrounding debris and track, especially if the attacker is
smart enough to disguise them.
The reason missile defense planners
typically focus on intercepting attackers in those later phases is because of
the difficulty of getting close enough to a launching missile to hit it during
the few minutes before it reaches space and releases
its warheads. But by adapting an air-launched missile already
in use on supersonic fighters for the boost/ascent phase intercept mission,
Raytheon has crafted an affordable, low-risk complement to the bigger and
more costly systems that are required to intercept fast-moving ballistic
bodies in the later stages of their trajectory.
The interceptor for the Raytheon system --
called “Network Centric Airborne Defense Element” or NCADE -- would be carried
close to the enemy launch site on its host aircraft, and then
released at high altitude to attack the rising missile. By netting
together sensor inputs from a variety of existing systems such as Aegis
destroyers and JSTARS radar planes, the aircraft could be vectored to the
best release point for its interceptor. The interceptor would then use a
heat-seeking sensor in its nose adapted from another existing air-to-air
missile to achieve impact kill of its target.
NCADE could also be launched from a loitering
unmanned aircraft such as the Air Force's Reaper. In fact, it could be
launched from a wide range of aircraft, because it has the same external
configuration as the air-to-air missile on which it is based, despite the
introduction of a new seeker and second propulsion stage. That means no
expensive aircraft modifications or new infrastructure would be required.
The interceptor would cost less than a million dollars per copy to
produce, and could be ready for use in a few years. It may
not be the answer to all of America's missile defense needs, but it
is the least expensive, highest leverage solution to a major threat that
anyone has proposed in a long time.