If you want to understand how
former allies end up going to war -- or former lovers end up getting divorced --
take a look at how Boeing and the Air Force are treating each other in their
angry confrontation over the award of a next-generation tanker program to
Northrop Grumman. Boeing expected to win the contract, and now finds
itself facing the prospect of losing a 50-year aerial refueling franchise (and
$100 billion in sales) while its main rival in the commercial airliner business
sets up shop on Boeing's home turf. Boeing is convinced it
should have won, and is spending millions of dollars on lawyers and advertising
to press its case in a formal complaint to the Government Accountability
Office.
Air Force leaders, on the other
hand, believe that Boeing is willfully mis-stating the facts in a bid to
obscure the inferior performance of the plane it proposed. A marathon
session of Air Force acquisition experts two weeks ago concluded that none
of the 200 issues raised by Boeing in its complaint to GAO was likely to be
upheld, and that whatever minor problems the accountability office might
uncover would be far from sufficient to overturn a competitive outcome the
service says was not close. Beyond the merits of Boeing's case, Air Force
officials are insulted by the tone of the company's public statements, which
have used phrases such as "deeply flawed" and "severely
prejudiced" to describe the tanker selection process.
The deterioration of Boeing's
relationship with its biggest government customer hit a new low last week,
when Air Force insiders began hinting darkly that the company had encouraged
Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill to question the ethics of the service's chief
of staff in a letter concerning an unrelated contracting matter. The
notion that Boeing would do such a thing seems exceedingly unlikely, since
the chief was widely believed to favor Boeing's tanker bid and the company's
relationship with McCaskill is lukewarm at best (even though its defense unit
is headquartered in her state). But the tone of Boeing's tanker
campaign has led at least some service officials to believe the worst
about the company, a feeling that is spreading far beyond
tankers. For instance, the service has probably delayed announcing award
of the GPS III satellite contract in part because it fears another Boeing
protest.
What's fascinating about this
confrontation is that the two parties embrace completely contradictory views of
reality, and yet the partisans on each side are absolutely convinced that their
version of the facts is the only true account. If there's anyone inside
Boeing who thinks the tanker competition was rigorous and transparent, I can't
find them. And if there's anyone inside the Air Force that thinks
Boeing's protest has any merit, they're hiding from me. The stark
difference in how the combatants see the same events seems more like
a case study in Balkan politics than the button-down world of defense
acquisition.
A sage observer of human
nature commented in the Wall Street Journal some years ago that
the great achievement of American capitalism was to channel impulses that led
to rape and pillage during earlier civilizations into constructive forces
for economic progress. That's an important insight, but sometimes in
the rough and tumble of competition we see hints of how recently mankind
emerged from the jungle. When rival cultures begin hating each other,
their behavior can easily spill beyond the bounds of
rationality. So Boeing and the Air Force need to catch their
breath, tone down their rhetoric, and realize that they both still need
each other to succeed.